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Economics

Ethnic Fractionalization and the Risk of Civil Conflict Onset

Quick fact

A landmark cross-country study found that ethnic fractionalization alone has no statistically significant effect on the probability of civil war onset once other factors like income and regime type are accounted for.

Why this is interesting

You might have heard that diverse countries are more prone to civil war—but is that actually true? The answer might surprise you, because the most famous measure of ethnic diversity tells a different story than you'd expect.